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After Bear is it Goldman?
Fred Day
Jun. 18, 2008

The perception in the market place is clear. Lloyd Blankfein, a 53-year-old former gold salesman, now the Goldman Chairman has shielded Goldman for a long time that the firm is in strong footing. Goldman demonstrated that perception today after posting an 11% profit drop in one of the toughest quarters for the brokerage business. Goldman lost little ground unlike some of its counterparts in the business.

But not everything is so green as it seems. It is going ahead with its planned rescue of SIV Portfolio PLC, a $7 billion structured investment vehicle that collapsed in August. That can be the start of a catastrophe.

The other risk of Goldman is its China operation. The firm has not discounted the imminent Chinese slowdown after the Olympics.

The subprime and credit exposure for Goldman is also a headache. The firm is successful in creating the so called hype that it is stronger and healthier than it looks. But was not that what Bear Sterns was doing before it collapsed?


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